I am an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Yale University. My research interests include American politics, elections and election law, historical political economy, and the media and local newspapers.
I am also a Resident Fellow at the Institution for Social and Policy Studies (ISPS) and Faculty Affiliate at the Center for American Political Studies (CSAP), both at Yale. Previously, I was an affiliate of the Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and Institute for Quantitative Social Sciences (IQSS) at Harvard. I have also worked for the MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) and was part of the Stanford-MIT Healthy Elections Project.
Published Research Articles
Redistricting and Gerrymandering
4. The Power of Characters: Evaluating Machine Learning Modified Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding Inference of Race in Redistricting. 2024. Curiel, John A. and Kevin DeLuca. State Politics & Policy Quarterly, First View, 1-22. [Publisher Link]
1. American Election Results at the Precinct Level. 2022. Baltz, Samuel, Alexander Agadjanian, Declan Chin, John Curiel, Kevin DeLuca, James Dunham, Jennifer Miranda, Connor Phillips, Annabel Uhlman,Cameron Wimpy, Marcos Zárate, and Charles Stewart. Scientific Data 9, 651. [Publisher Link]
3. A Partisan Solution to Partisan Gerrymandering: The Define-Combine Procedure. 2023. Palmer, Maxwell, Benjamin Schneer, and Kevin DeLuca. Political Analysis, First View, 1-16. [Publisher Link]
2. Validating the Applicability of Bayesian Inference with Surname and Geocoding to Congressional Redistricting. 2023. DeLuca, Kevin, and John A. Curiel. Political Analysis, 30(3): 465-471. [Publisher Link]
Select Working Papers
Candidate Quality, Elections, and Local News
Editor’s Choice: Measuring Candidate Quality using Local Newspaper Endorsements. DeLuca, Kevin. 2024. APSA Preprints. [Under Review]
(Previous Version: Newspaper Endorsements, Candidate Quality, and Election Outcomes in the United States, 1950-2020. DeLuca, Kevin. 2022. APSA Preprints. Covered in Grid News, Science of Politics)
A Drag on the Ticket? Estimating Top-of-the-Ticket Effects on Down-Ballot Races. (with Benjamin Schneer and Daniel Moskowitz) [Under Review]
Candidate Quality, Incumbency, and Election Outcomes in the United States. DeLuca, Kevin. 2023. APSA Preprints.
The Influence of Biased Local Newspaper Endorsements. DeLuca, Kevin. 2023. APSA Preprints. (Presented at the Southern Political Science Association Meeting, January 2023.)